The next decade will be an intelligent one, bringing major changes to every aspect of our lives: food, living, travel, health, how we produce, how cities operate, and how countries flourish.
As a provider of ICT infrastructure and smart devices, Huawei recently hosted the Intelligent World 2030 Forum crossing different disciplines, industries and borders to discuss how digital technology could better serve people’s needs. Intelligent World 2030 is focusing on centred on digitalization and decarbonisation, and how these two major trends drive and reinforce each other, both serving as engines of the world’s green development. The forum brought together futurists, industry leaders, think tanks, and media from around the world to collaborate and achieve the intelligent world of 2030.
At the Forum, Huawei presented the research and achievements of the communications networks and computing industries and called on industry players to work together to realize Huawei’s future vision detailed in its Intelligent World 2030 report that was released last year.
The report is the culmination of three years of research, including in-depth exchanges with more than 1,000 academics, customers, and partners, and a total of 2,000 workshops. The report also draws from the data and methodologies of leading industry organizations across the globe.
In this report, Huawei examines the prospects for the intelligent world over the next decade by analyzing macro trends in healthcare, food, living spaces, transportation, cities, enterprises, energy, and digital trust and provides forecasts for 32 indicators of the future. The eight outlooks are:
1. Outlook for Healthcare: Making Health Computable, Bettering Quality of Life
By 2030, sensitive biosensors will be in widespread use, and massive amounts of health data will be stored on the cloud, making health computable. People will be able to proactively manage their health, shifting focus from treatment to prevention. Driven by technologies such as IoT and AI, personalized treatments will become a reality. Portable medical devices will enable people to access coordinated telemedicine services from the comfort of their homes.
Huawei predicts that by 2030 global general computing power (FP32) will reach 3.3 ZFLOPS, a 10-fold increase over 2020. AI computing power (FP16) will reach 105 ZFLOPS, a 500-fold increase over 2020.
2. Outlook for food: Data-driven Food Production for More Bountiful, Inclusive and “Green”
By 2030, precision farming possible and data collected will enable us to control factors affecting crop growth, such as temperature and humidity, so that we can build vertical farms unaffected by the uncertainties of climate and weather.
Huawei predicts that by 2030 there will be 200 billion connections worldwide. 1YB of data will be generated annually worldwide, a 23-fold increase over 2020
3. Outlook for living spaces: Personalized Spaces with Novel Interactive Experiences
Automatic delivery systems will bring household items from shared warehouses to our doors whenever we need them. Intelligent management systems will mean that the buildings where we live and work may produce net-zero carbon.
Huawei predicts that by 2030 there will be 1.6 billion fiber broadband subscribers. 23% of homes will have access to 10-gigabit fiber broadband.
4. Outlook for Transportation: Smart, Low-carbon Transport Opens up the Mobile Third Space
Electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft will make emergency rescue faster, reduce the costs of delivering emergency medical supplies, and may even change how people commute. Mobility solutions will be efficient, customized, and shared, meaning that vehicles will be used much more consistently and travel will become greener.
Huawei predicts that by 2030 50% of new vehicles sold will be electric vehicles and whole-vehicle computing power will exceed 5,000 TOPS.
5. Outlook for Cities: New Digital Infrastructure Makes Cities More Human and Livable
Centralized digital platforms for government processes and services will make government services user-friendly and easier to access.
Huawei predicts that by 2030 40% of companies will have access to 10-gigabit Wi-Fi networks.
6. Outlook for Enterprises: New Productivity, New Production Models, New Resilience
By 2030, digital transformation will have brought a new wave of modernization to enterprises. They will use more productive machines, such as collaborative robots and autonomous mobile robots.
New business models will be more people-centric, with increased flexibility in manufacturing, logistics, and other activities. Digitalization will help companies interweave and graphically monitor their supply chains for better resilience in the face of dynamic market environments.
Huawei predicts that by 2030 every 10,000 workers will work with 390 robots. One million companies are expected to build their own 5G private networks (including virtual private networks). Cloud services are forecast to account for 87% of enterprises’ application expenditures. AI computing will account for 7% of a company’s total IT investment.
7. Outlook for Energy: Intelligent, Green Energy for a Better Planet
Energy will be greener and more intelligent in 2030. Power plants will be generating electricity from renewable energy sources in lakes and near-shore marine areas. Zero-carbon data centers and zero-carbon telecom towers could possibly become a reality.
Huawei predicts that by 2030 renewables will account for 50% of all electricity generation globally.
8. Outlook for Digital Trust: Technologies and Regulations Shape a Trusted Digital Future
In 2030, a combination of technical and organizational measures: blockchain, AI fraud detection, and privacy-enhancing computation which will need to be combined with privacy and security regulations such as the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) to deliver an intelligent world with digital trust.
Huawei predicts that by 2030 privacy-enhanced computing technologies will be used in more than 50% of computing scenarios. 85% of enterprises will adopt blockchain technology.
Gavin Gai, President of Huawei ICT Strategy & Business Development Dept, delivered the keynote speech Building Green, Cubic Broadband, and Intelligent Future Communications Networks, giving a detailed analysis of the six defining features of the communications networks of the future. These are cubic broadband networks; harmonized communication and sensing; deterministic experience; AI-native; security and trustworthiness; and green, low-carbon construction and operations. He also gave a detailed analysis of the future of the communications industry.
“Industries are the foundation of the intelligent world. The Communications Network 2030, Computing 2030, Digital Power 2030, and Intelligent Automotive Solution 2030 reports provide insights into the technology trends of these respective industries and can serve as a reference for industry development in the future,” said Gai at the Forum.
Jiang Tao, Vice President of Huawei’s Computing Product Line, delivered the speech Building a Green, Integrated, and Collaborative Foundation for Intelligent Computing. “By 2030, the computing industry will be characterized by physical-layer breakthroughs, cognitive intelligence, diversified computing, intrinsic security, multi-dimensional collaboration, and green, integrated computing,” said Jiang. “The digital and physical worlds will be seamlessly integrated, and computing will be able to simulate, reproduce, and enhance the physical world.”
Also present at the event was Tian Yong Hong, IEEE Fellow and Chief Technology Engineer of Peng Cheng Cloud Brain. In his presentation, Tian said that through building super AI computing, Peng Cheng Laboratory is creating an innovation engine for the intelligent world. He reported how AI is changing the way the economy grows and approaches to science and technology innovation, adding that the super intelligent computing platform his organization is creating will address top global challenges.
Other guests at the event included those involved in leading the Intelligent World 2030 project. Kevin Zhang, CMO of Huawei’s ICT Infrastructure Business, and Wang Youchun, Director of Huawei’s ICT Insights Dept, shared their thoughts on the intelligent world of 2030, participated in discussions about how ICTs can advance socioeconomic and green development, and explored how industries can move toward the intelligent world of 2030.
Much of the discussion at the event centered on digitalization and decarbonization, and how these two major trends drive and reinforce each other, both serving as engines of the world’s green development. Intelligent World application scenarios, innovations in computing and connectivity technologies, and green development practices were also discussed at the event.
The Intelligent World 2030 report is available for download here.